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Auburn at Florida
Sat Jan 18, 2020
1:30pm ET
Gainesville, FL
Auburn at Florida: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida by 2.5, Total Points: 140.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | AUB | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-0 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-7-0 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 11-8-0 | 9-11-1 |
Auburn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | SE Louisiana | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 24 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Bonavent | -10.0 | W by 17 | +7.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Alab A&M | -33.5 | W by 30 | -3.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | App State | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Indiana | -7.5 | W by 28 | +20.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -19.5 | W by 25 | +5.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | USC | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Alabama St | -30.5 | W by 20 | -10.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Chattanooga | -20.5 | W by 35 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | U Penn | -20.5 | W by 20 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Arkansas | -2.5 | W by 32 | +29.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | LSU | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Vanderbilt | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mississippi | -12.5 | W by 23 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Alabama | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miss State | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.5 | W by 27 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Carolina | -11.5 | W by 40 | +28.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 11 | -19.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Miss State | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 27 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Georgia | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | S Carolina | -7.5 | W by 31 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Miss State | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Florida | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Yale | -13.5 | L by 2 | -15.5 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Loyola-MD | -24.5 | W by 20 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Virginia | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Florida A&M | -34.0 | W by 21 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Florida St | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 15 | +10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Wake Forest | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Merrimack | -21.5 | W by 20 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Richmond | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/14 | Neutral | E Carolina | -15.0 | W by 5 | -10.0 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Michigan | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Grambling St | -26.5 | W by 39 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Quinnipiac | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Arkansas | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Tennessee | +10.0 | L by 19 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miss State | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Kentucky | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas A&M | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | LSU | -11.0 | W by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Georgia | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Alabama | +10.0 | L by 5 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Vanderbilt | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Carolina | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Vanderbilt | -9.0 | L by 1 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colorado | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| FLA -2.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2800 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida won the game 1618 times (57.8%).
- The team like Auburn won the game 1182 times (42.2%).
- The team like Florida did better against the spread, going 1390-1369-41 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3161 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Auburn did better against the spread, going 1552-1549-60 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -- | -2.5 |
| Open | -1.5 | -- | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 01:25 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/18 12:16 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/18 11:10 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:21 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/18 08:02 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/18 07:35 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:09 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/17 09:46 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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