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Missouri at Florida
Wed Mar 3, 2021
6:30pm ET
Gainesville, FL
Missouri at Florida: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida by 4, Total Points: 142
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIZZ | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-23-0 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-14-0 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-14-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 6-9-0 | 9-11-1 |
Missouri Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Memphis | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | SIU Edward | -18.5 | W by 18 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Jackson St | -22.5 | L by 1 | -23.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | S Car State | -24.5 | W by 23 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Loyola-MD | -19.5 | W by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Wichita St | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Kansas | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Illinois | +6.5 | L by 24 | -17.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Central Ark | -21.5 | W by 33 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kentucky | +11.5 | L by 13 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Carolina | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Alabama | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Florida | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Texas A&M | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Arkansas | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Vanderbilt | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Texas A&M | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Miss State | +7.5 | L by 24 | -16.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mississippi | +11.5 | L by 3 | +8.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Arkansas | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Florida | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Auburn | +11.5 | L by 27 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | LSU | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Georgia | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Loyola-MD | -24.5 | W by 20 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Virginia | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Florida A&M | -34.0 | W by 21 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Florida St | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 15 | +10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Wake Forest | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Merrimack | -21.5 | W by 20 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Richmond | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/14 | Neutral | E Carolina | -15.0 | W by 5 | -10.0 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Michigan | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Grambling St | -26.5 | W by 39 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Quinnipiac | -21.5 | W by 25 | +3.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Arkansas | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Tennessee | +10.0 | L by 19 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miss State | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Kentucky | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas A&M | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | LSU | -11.0 | W by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Georgia | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Alabama | +10.0 | L by 5 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Vanderbilt | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Carolina | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 18 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Vanderbilt | -9.0 | L by 1 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Georgia | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colorado | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| FLA -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3212 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida won the game 2056 times (64.0%).
- The team like Missouri won the game 1156 times (36.0%).
- The team like Florida did better against the spread, going 1598-1538-76 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 673 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Missouri did better against the spread, going 329-317-27 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/03 06:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 06:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/03 05:44 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 04:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 04:15 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/03 03:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/03 03:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 02:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 12:44 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 12:11 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 11:44 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/03 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 03/03 11:29 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:35 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:14 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 09:38 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 08:45 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/03 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 03/03 08:20 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 07:35 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 12:50 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 03/02 10:35 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 09:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/02 09:26 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/02 05:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 04:59 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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