NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIZZ FLA
Points 75.6 87.3
Total Points   162.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 24.9
Points From Free Throws 17.5 23.4
Shooting MIZZ FLA
Field Goals Made 26.0 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 60.6
Field Goal % 43.2% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.5 23.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 31.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 73.2%
Ball Control MIZZ FLA
Rebounds 29.7 44.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 16.2
Turnovers 10.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.4
Steals 6.9 6.1
Fouls 19.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIZZ FLA
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 80.5
% of Possessions with MIZZ FLA
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 24.6%
Player Fouled 22.6% 25.8%
Turnover 13.5% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIZZ FLA
Shot Blocked 7.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 43.1%