NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIZZ FLA
Points 71.4 75.4
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 18.7
Points From Free Throws 16.5 17.4
Shooting MIZZ FLA
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 53.5
Field Goal % 42.1% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 16.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 23.1
Free Throw % 70.3% 75.5%
Ball Control MIZZ FLA
Rebounds 33.2 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.2
Turnovers 11.9 13.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.9
Steals 7.2 5.6
Fouls 18.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIZZ FLA
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 67.7
% of Possessions with MIZZ FLA
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 19.9%
Player Fouled 23.5% 24.8%
Turnover 16.3% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIZZ FLA
Shot Blocked 9.4% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 26.8%