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Missouri at Arkansas
Sat Feb 22, 2020
1:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
Missouri at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 8.5, Total Points: 139.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIZZ | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-23-0 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-14-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-14-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 6-9-0 | 5-11-0 |
Missouri Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Memphis | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | SIU Edward | -18.5 | W by 18 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Jackson St | -22.5 | L by 1 | -23.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | S Car State | -24.5 | W by 23 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Loyola-MD | -19.5 | W by 8 | -11.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Wichita St | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Kansas | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Illinois | +6.5 | L by 24 | -17.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Central Ark | -21.5 | W by 33 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kentucky | +11.5 | L by 13 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Carolina | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Alabama | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Florida | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Texas A&M | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Arkansas | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Vanderbilt | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Texas A&M | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Miss State | +7.5 | L by 24 | -16.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Mississippi | +11.5 | L by 3 | +8.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Arkansas | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Florida | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Auburn | +11.5 | L by 27 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | LSU | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Georgia | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -8.5 | Open | -6.0 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2565 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 2044 times (79.7%).
- The team like Missouri won the game 521 times (20.3%).
- The team like Missouri did better against the spread, going 1272-1250-43 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 258 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Missouri did better against the spread, going 142-109-7 (56.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/22 12:55 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 02/22 12:53 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 12:45 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 02/22 11:55 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 02/22 11:45 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/22 11:15 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/22 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/22 11:04 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 10:01 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 08:31 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/21 10:09 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 07:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/21 07:21 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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