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LSU at Mississippi
Sat Jan 18, 2020
8:00pm ET
Oxford, MS
LSU at Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisiana State by 4, Total Points: 145.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-0 | 14-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 7-12-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 6-12-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 6-8-0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miss Val St | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | L by 2 | -21.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Dayton | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Florida | -22.0 | W by 12 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | L by 23 | -21.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SE Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Kansas St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Alabama St | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Lamar | -16.5 | W by 21 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NW State | -25.0 | W by 41 | +16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 15 | +26.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Auburn | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Georgia | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Alabama | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Arkansas | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tennessee | +14.0 | L by 20 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Florida | +11.0 | L by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Kentucky | +6.5 | W by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Vanderbilt | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Arkansas | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Miss State | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | North Texas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alabama St | -26.5 | W by 10 | -16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | E Washingtn | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Detroit | -23.5 | W by 1 | -22.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Sam Hous St | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Temple | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | NC State | -2.0 | W by 20 | +18.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Mt St Marys | -16.0 | W by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/10 | Away | UCF | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | California | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Troy | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +9.0 | W by 17 | +26.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Bryant | -15.0 | W by 17 | +2.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 26 | -14.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Florida | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | LSU | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Auburn | +12.5 | L by 23 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Texas A&M | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miss State | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | S Carolina | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 3 | -8.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miss State | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Carolina | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Alabama | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Missouri | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -1.0 | L by 26 | -27.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| LSU -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1567 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 978 times (62.4%).
- The team like Mississippi won the game 589 times (37.6%).
- The team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 769-756-42 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3059 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 1539-1462-58 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -- | -4.0 |
| Open | -5.0 | -- | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 07:58 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/18 06:36 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:53 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:09 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/18 10:00 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:32 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/18 12:21 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 09:46 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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