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TN State at AR Lit Rock
Tue Dec 10, 2019
7:30pm ET
Little Rock, AR
TN State at AR Lit Rock: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Little Rock by 4.5, Total Points: 133
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TNST | adv | UALR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-17-0 | 19-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-10-0 | 13-7-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 13-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-12-0 | 6-10-0 |
TN State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Fisk | -- | W by 15 | -- |
| 11/09 | Home | Kentucky State | -- | W by 25 | -- |
| 11/15 | Away | Portland | +10.0 | W by 10 | +20.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Oregon | +18.5 | L by 25 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Midway | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Mercer | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | SE Louisiana | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Alab A&M | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Austin Peay | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Lipscomb | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Liberty | +15.0 | L by 22 | -7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 58 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Indiana St | +17.5 | L by 21 | -3.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | TN Martin | -4.5 | L by 16 | -20.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | AR Lit Rock | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | S Indiana | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Morehead St | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Lindenwood | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | TN Tech | -8.0 | W by 32 | +24.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | W Illinois | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Illinois | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Morehead St | +5.0 | L by 19 | -14.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Indiana | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Lindenwood | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | SE Missouri | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | TN Tech | -4.0 | L by 20 | -24.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | W Illinois | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | E Illinois | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | SIU Edward | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | TN Martin | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 03/06 | Neutral | S Indiana | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | W Illinois | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
AR Lit Rock Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Texas St | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | N Illinois | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Georgia St | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Georgia St | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Tulsa | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Ball St | -2.0 | W by 26 | +24.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Arkansas St | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Central Ark | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Winthrop | +1.5 | L by 17 | -15.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | UTSA | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Murray St | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jksnville St | -2.5 | L by 30 | -32.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | TN Tech | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | TN State | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | SIU Edward | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | E Illinois | -8.5 | L by 2 | -10.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | TN Martin | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Indiana | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Lindenwood | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | SE Missouri | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | SIU Edward | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | E Illinois | -2.5 | W by 24 | +21.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | TN Martin | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | W Illinois | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Morehead St | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | S Indiana | -10.0 | W by 18 | +8.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | SE Missouri | -7.0 | W by 22 | +15.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Lindenwood | -11.5 | W by 9 | -2.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | TN State | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | TN Tech | -13.5 | W by 38 | +24.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | W Illinois | -5.5 | W by 25 | +19.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Fairfield | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| UALR -4.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2696 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Little Rock won the game 1736 times (64.4%).
- The team like Tennessee St. won the game 960 times (35.6%).
- The team like Little Rock did better against the spread, going 1349-1283-64 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1631 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Little Rock did better against the spread, going 802-794-35 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/10 07:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 06:58 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 06:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/10 05:57 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 04:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/10 04:39 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 12:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/10 12:09 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 12/10 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 12/10 11:06 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 11:04 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/10 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 12/10 10:24 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/10 10:14 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/10 10:06 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/10 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 12/10 08:48 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:08 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:38 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/10 12:54 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/09 08:14 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 12/09 08:01 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 07:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/09 06:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 12/09 06:10 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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