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LSU at Kentucky
Sat Jan 23, 2021
6:00pm ET
Lexington, KY
LSU at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Kentucky by 1.5, Total Points: 146
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-0 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-12-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 10-5-0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miss Val St | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | L by 2 | -21.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Dayton | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Florida | -22.0 | W by 12 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | L by 23 | -21.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SE Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Kansas St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Alabama St | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Lamar | -16.5 | W by 21 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NW State | -25.0 | W by 41 | +16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 15 | +26.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Auburn | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Georgia | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Alabama | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Arkansas | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tennessee | +14.0 | L by 20 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Florida | +11.0 | L by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Kentucky | +6.5 | W by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Vanderbilt | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Arkansas | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Miss State | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | North Texas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| UK -1.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2251 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Kentucky won the game 1287 times (57.2%).
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 964 times (42.8%).
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1152-1065-34 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 152 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 81-71 (53.3% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/23 05:59 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:50 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:05 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 04:20 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 03:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/23 03:08 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:38 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 01:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/23 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/23 01:08 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 11:59 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:32 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:47 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/23 08:14 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 03:32 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:54 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/22 11:38 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 01/22 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 01/22 07:47 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/22 05:23 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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