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Detroit at Michigan St
Fri Dec 4, 2020
5:00pm ET
East Lansing, MI
Detroit at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan St. by 27.5, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DETU | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-21-0 | 19-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-12-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-10-0 | 11-7-0 | |
| Away | 9-11-0 | 8-8-1 |
Detroit Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Toledo | +15.5 | L by 34 | -18.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Cincinnati | +24.0 | L by 32 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Mississippi | +23.5 | L by 1 | +22.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Ohio | +17.0 | L by 19 | -2.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | E Michigan | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | SIU Edward | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Oakland | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Cleveland St | +11.5 | L by 11 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Ball St | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Northwestern | +23.0 | L by 32 | -9.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Loyola Mymt | +16.5 | L by 20 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Central Mich | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | NC State | +23.0 | L by 17 | +6.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | IUPUI | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | IPFW | +13.0 | L by 35 | -22.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | +2.5 | L by 18 | -15.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | WI-Milwkee | +8.0 | L by 23 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | N Kentucky | +9.5 | L by 5 | +4.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Rob Morris | +8.5 | L by 3 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Youngs St | +10.0 | L by 41 | -31.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +12.0 | L by 16 | -4.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Cleveland St | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rob Morris | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Wright St | +19.0 | L by 7 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | N Kentucky | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | IUPUI | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | IPFW | +9.0 | L by 14 | -5.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Wright St | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Youngs St | +18.5 | L by 14 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Oakland | +16.5 | L by 5 | +11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
| MSU -27.5 | Open | -25.0 | High | -27.5 |
| Last | -26.5 | Low | -25.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 163 games where the closing line favored the home team by 26.5 to 28.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan St won the game 162 times (99.4%).
- The team like Detroit Mercy won the game 1 times (0.6%).
- The team like Michigan St did better against the spread, going 86-74-3 (53.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 21 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Detroit Mercy did better against the spread, going 13-7-1 (65.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -27.5 | -27.5 | -27.5 |
| Open | -25.0 | -25.0 | -25.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/04 04:56 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 04:54 PM | -- | -27.5 | -- |
| 12/04 04:45 PM | -- | -- | -27.5 |
| 12/04 04:41 PM | -27.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 04:13 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:56 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:38 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:08 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:25 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:59 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -27.0 |
| 12/04 12:20 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:25 AM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:59 AM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:54 AM | -- | -26.5 | -- |
| 12/04 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -26.5 |
| 12/04 10:29 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:24 AM | -- | -25.5 | -- |
| 12/04 09:55 AM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:25 AM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -25.5 |
| 12/04 06:46 AM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 04:28 AM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:08 AM | -26.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -25.0 |
| 12/03 08:49 PM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 07:24 PM | -- | -25.0 | -- |
| 12/03 07:08 PM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
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