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Detroit at Northwestern
Sun Dec 10, 2023
2:00pm ET
Evanston, IL
Detroit at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northwestern by 23, Total Points: 132
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DETU | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-21-0 | 18-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-12-0 | 13-8-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 2-10-0 | 9-7-1 | |
| Away | 9-11-0 | 9-7-1 |
Detroit Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Toledo | +15.5 | L by 34 | -18.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Cincinnati | +24.0 | L by 32 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Mississippi | +23.5 | L by 1 | +22.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Ohio | +17.0 | L by 19 | -2.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | E Michigan | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | SIU Edward | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Oakland | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Cleveland St | +11.5 | L by 11 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Ball St | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Northwestern | +23.0 | L by 32 | -9.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Loyola Mymt | +16.5 | L by 20 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Central Mich | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | NC State | +23.0 | L by 17 | +6.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | IUPUI | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | IPFW | +13.0 | L by 35 | -22.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | +2.5 | L by 18 | -15.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | WI-Milwkee | +8.0 | L by 23 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | N Kentucky | +9.5 | L by 5 | +4.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Rob Morris | +8.5 | L by 3 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Youngs St | +10.0 | L by 41 | -31.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +12.0 | L by 16 | -4.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Cleveland St | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rob Morris | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Wright St | +19.0 | L by 7 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | N Kentucky | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | IUPUI | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | IPFW | +9.0 | L by 14 | -5.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Wright St | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Youngs St | +18.5 | L by 14 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Oakland | +16.5 | L by 5 | +11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
| NW -23.0 | Open | -24.5 | High | -24.5 |
| Last | -23.5 | Low | -22.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 394 games where the closing line favored the home team by 22 to 24 points. In these games:
- The team like Northwestern won the game 385 times (97.7%).
- The team like Detroit Mercy won the game 9 times (2.3%).
- The team like Detroit Mercy did better against the spread, going 198-186-10 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1900 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Detroit Mercy did better against the spread, going 955-908-37 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -23.0 | -23.5 | -- |
| Open | -24.5 | -24.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/10 03:17 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 12/10 01:44 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:40 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:08 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 10:23 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:53 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:41 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:20 AM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:17 AM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 12/10 03:47 AM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 12/10 02:35 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 11:56 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 07:59 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:18 PM | -- | -24.5 | -- |
| 12/09 05:26 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 04:32 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:35 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
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