NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU NW
Points 61.2 85.1
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 27.8
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.9
Shooting DETU NW
Field Goals Made 21.4 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 56.9
Field Goal % 42.6% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 43.7%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 19.7
Free Throw % 74.1% 75.6%
Ball Control DETU NW
Rebounds 25.8 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 9.3
Turnovers 13.0 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.4
Steals 5.1 6.2
Fouls 16.7 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU NW
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 60.7 69.0
% of Possessions with DETU NW
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 27.1%
Player Fouled 21.7% 24.6%
Turnover 19.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU NW
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 31.7%