NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC COLO
Points 75.0 77.2
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 23.8
Points From Free Throws 11.7 15.8
Shooting USC COLO
Field Goals Made 28.2 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 57.2
Field Goal % 47.2% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 41.9%
Free Throws Made 11.7 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 20.8
Free Throw % 69.5% 76.0%
Ball Control USC COLO
Rebounds 31.0 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.8
Turnovers 10.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.6 2.1
Steals 7.8 5.9
Fouls 15.7 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC COLO
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 69.5
% of Possessions with USC COLO
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 22.4%
Player Fouled 18.5% 21.6%
Turnover 14.1% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC COLO
Shot Blocked 3.7% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 29.9%