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Troy at Arkansas
Mon Nov 28, 2022
8:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
Troy at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 16.5, Total Points: 139.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-10-1 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 11-2-1 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 5-11-0 |
Troy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | University of Fort Lauderdale | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 11/08 | Away | Ohio | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Oregon St | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 65 | -- |
| 11/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Grambling St | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | E Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SIU Edward | -5.5 | W by 23 | +17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Dayton | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Mississippi | +13.0 | L by 21 | -8.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Old Dominion | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | App State | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisiana | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Mississippi | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Mississippi | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Texas St | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | S Alabama | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | GA Southern | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Georgia St | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Marshall | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Kent St | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Arkansas St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | UL Monroe | -12.5 | W by 28 | +15.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UL Monroe | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Louisiana | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Texas St | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Texas St | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -16.5 | Open | -18.5 | High | -19.0 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -16.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 865 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 818 times (94.6%).
- The team like Troy won the game 47 times (5.4%).
- The team like Troy did better against the spread, going 450-405-10 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 941 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 460-459-22 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -16.5 | -- |
| Open | -18.0 | -18.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 07:58 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:53 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/28 07:37 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:24 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/28 07:16 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:14 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/28 05:49 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 05:10 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:46 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:04 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/28 04:01 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:44 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/28 01:34 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 11/28 01:24 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/28 01:22 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:44 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 11/28 11:07 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:44 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 11/28 10:24 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 11/28 09:54 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 11/28 09:37 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:54 AM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 11/28 08:28 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:13 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:13 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:46 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 08:33 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/27 03:13 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
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