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Troy vs. NC-Wilmgton
Sat Nov 28, 2020
1:00pm ET
Asheville, NC
(Neutral Site)
Troy vs. NC-Wilmgton: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Troy by 2.5, Total Points: 146
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | UNCW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-10-1 | 13-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 9-10-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 11-2-1 | 4-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 9-10-0 |
Troy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | University of Fort Lauderdale | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 11/08 | Away | Ohio | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Oregon St | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 65 | -- |
| 11/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Grambling St | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | E Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SIU Edward | -5.5 | W by 23 | +17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Dayton | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Mississippi | +13.0 | L by 21 | -8.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Old Dominion | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | App State | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisiana | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Mississippi | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Alabama | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Mississippi | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Texas St | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | S Alabama | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | GA Southern | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Georgia St | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Marshall | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Kent St | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Arkansas St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | UL Monroe | -12.5 | W by 28 | +15.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UL Monroe | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Louisiana | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Texas St | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Texas St | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
NC-Wilmgton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mount Olive | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | NC-Asheville | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Columbia International | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | App State | -2.5 | L by 30 | -32.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | E Carolina | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | W by 7 | +25.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Montreat | -- | W by 69 | -- |
| 12/16 | Away | GA Southern | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Marshall | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Drexel | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Towson | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Monmouth | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Delaware | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Elon | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Col Charlestn | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Northeastrn | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Stony Brook | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Col Charlestn | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Campbell | -14.0 | W by 3 | -11.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Drexel | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Hampton | -12.5 | W by 30 | +17.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | NC A&T | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Elon | -16.5 | L by 1 | -17.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Wm & Mary | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Campbell | -9.0 | L by 5 | -14.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Hofstra | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Towson | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Towson | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| TROY -2.5 | Open | +1.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1991 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Troy won the game 1107 times (55.6%).
- The team like UNC Wilmington won the game 884 times (44.4%).
- The team like UNC Wilmington did better against the spread, going 987-965-39 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like UNC Wilmington did better against the spread, going 3-2 (60.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -2.0 | (Pick) | +1.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/28 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/28 12:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/28 12:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/28 11:38 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/28 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/28 10:38 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:24 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/28 10:17 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/28 09:25 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 11/28 09:24 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 11/28 08:14 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
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