NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC NEV
Points 68.9 71.2
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 23.3
Points From Free Throws 14.9 17.5
Shooting USC NEV
Field Goals Made 23.5 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 53.2
Field Goal % 42.8% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 24.6
Free Throw % 69.5% 71.2%
Ball Control USC NEV
Rebounds 34.8 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.8
Turnovers 11.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.0
Steals 5.9 6.2
Fouls 18.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Nevada

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC NEV
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 67.9
% of Possessions with USC NEV
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 25.1%
Player Fouled 23.4% 26.6%
Turnover 16.3% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC NEV
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 25.7%