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Merrimack at Bradley
Sat Nov 26, 2022
4:00pm ET
Peoria, IL
Merrimack at Bradley: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Bradley by 13, Total Points: 126.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MW | adv | BRAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-13-1 | 17-15-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 10-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 9-6-1 | |
| Away | 10-8-1 | 8-9-1 |
Merrimack Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Vermont | +15.0 | L by 12 | +3.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Worcester State | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 11/12 | Away | Maine | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Ohio St | +24.0 | L by 24 | 0.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | NC A&T | -6.0 | W by 23 | +17.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Samford | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Alabama St | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Georgetown | +10.5 | L by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Mass Lowell | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Florida | +21.5 | L by 20 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Felician University | -- | W by 4 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Cincinnati | +20.0 | L by 16 | +4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Bucknell | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Boston U | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | F Dickinson | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Sacred Hrt | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Le Moyne | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Central Conn | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Wagner | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Stonehill | -12.5 | W by 16 | +3.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Wagner | -2.0 | W by 16 | +14.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | St Fran (PA) | -9.0 | W by 19 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Central Conn | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LIU | -11.0 | W by 3 | -8.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Le Moyne | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Stonehill | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | LIU | -13.0 | W by 15 | +2.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | F Dickinson | -4.5 | W by 19 | +14.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Sacred Hrt | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | LIU | -14.5 | W by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Le Moyne | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/12 | Home | Wagner | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
Bradley Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | UAB | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Utah St | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Tarleton St | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Tulane | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 9 | +4.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Murray St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana St | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Akron | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Cleveland St | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 12/18 | Neutral | Duquesne | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SIU Edward | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Truman State | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Evansville | -13.0 | W by 36 | +23.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | S Illinois | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Belmont | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Murray St | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | N Iowa | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Evansville | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Drake | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | IL-Chicago | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | N Iowa | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Missouri St | -3.0 | W by 24 | +21.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Illinois St | -12.5 | W by 3 | -9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | S Illinois | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Drake | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Drake | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Loyola-Chi | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Cincinnati | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| BRAD -13.0 | Open | -11.5 | High | -13.0 |
| Last | -12.5 | Low | -11.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1393 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12 to 14 points. In these games:
- The team like Bradley won the game 1263 times (90.7%).
- The team like Merrimack won the game 130 times (9.3%).
- The team like Merrimack did better against the spread, going 706-655-32 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1632 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Bradley did better against the spread, going 835-768-29 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/26 03:58 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 11:47 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 10:47 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 09:20 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 08:47 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 08:17 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
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