NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MW BRAD
Points 56.8 71.4
Total Points   128.2
Points From 2-Pointers 23.5 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 20.6
Points From Free Throws 13.4 12.4
Shooting MW BRAD
Field Goals Made 18.4 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.5 54.3
Field Goal % 35.7% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 11.7 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 29.5 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 39.9% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 16.6
Free Throw % 74.8% 74.3%
Ball Control MW BRAD
Rebounds 25.6 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 19.2 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 11.5
Turnovers 13.1 14.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.3
Steals 8.8 7.1
Fouls 13.5 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Merrimack

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MW BRAD
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 62.0 66.0
% of Possessions with MW BRAD
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 23.7%
Player Fouled 21.1% 19.7%
Turnover 19.1% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 12.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MW BRAD
Shot Blocked 7.9% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 37.3%