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Arizona at Baylor
Sat Dec 7, 2019
12:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Arizona at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 4, Total Points: 144
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARIZ | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 22-14-0 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-10-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-5-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 10-7-1 |
Arizona Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Morgan St | -31.5 | W by 63 | +31.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Duke | +5.0 | W by 5 | +10.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Southern | -31.0 | W by 38 | +7.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Belmont | -24.5 | W by 32 | +7.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | TX-Arlington | -27.5 | W by 45 | +17.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Colgate | -23.5 | W by 27 | +3.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Wisconsin | -9.5 | W by 25 | +15.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Purdue | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Alabama | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | California | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | Stanford | -12.0 | L by 18 | -30.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Colorado | -13.0 | W by 47 | +34.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 19 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wash State | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | USC | -21.0 | W by 15 | -6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | UCLA | -17.5 | W by 6 | -11.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Oregon St | -18.5 | L by 3 | -21.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Oregon | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | California | -18.5 | W by 26 | +7.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Stanford | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Utah | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Colorado | +1.5 | W by 20 | +21.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arizona St | -19.0 | W by 45 | +26.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Wash State | -13.5 | L by 3 | -16.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Washington | -16.5 | W by 16 | -0.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Arizona St | -12.0 | W by 18 | +6.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Oregon | -13.5 | W by 20 | +6.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | UCLA | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | USC | -7.5 | L by 13 | -20.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | USC | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Oregon | -11.5 | L by 8 | -19.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | -20.5 | W by 20 | -0.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Dayton | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Clemson | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -4.0 | Open | -5.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2689 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 1731 times (64.4%).
- The team like Arizona won the game 958 times (35.6%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 1344-1281-64 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1622 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 796-792-34 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/07 12:00 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:39 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/07 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/07 10:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/07 10:48 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 12/07 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 12/07 10:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/07 10:12 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:06 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/07 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 12/07 08:19 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 12/06 10:26 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:34 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
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