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Northwestern vs. UCLA
Sat Mar 18, 2023
8:40pm ET
Sacramento, CA
(Neutral Site)
Northwestern vs. UCLA: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UCLA by 7.5, Total Points: 126.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-2 | 15-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 12-9-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 9-7-1 | 5-11-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-1 | 10-5-2 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
UCLA Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -29.5 | W by 31 | +1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lafayette | -25.0 | W by 18 | -7.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | LIU | -35.0 | W by 20 | -15.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Marquette | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Chaminade | -28.0 | W by 28 | 0.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | UC Riverside | -18.5 | W by 1 | -17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Villanova | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Cal St Nrdge | -17.5 | L by 4 | -21.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Maryland | -4.0 | L by 9 | -13.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Stanford | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | California | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Utah | +8.5 | L by 46 | -37.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Washington | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona St | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona | +17.5 | L by 6 | +11.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | USC | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Stanford | +3.5 | W by 8 | +11.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | California | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Colorado | +1.5 | W by 4 | +5.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | USC | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Washington | +3.5 | L by 17 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wash State | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona | +9.0 | L by 23 | -14.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona St | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Oregon St | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Oregon | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| UCLA -7.5 | Open | -8.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 639 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like UCLA won the game 471 times (73.7%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 168 times (26.3%).
- The team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 324-308-7 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5447 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 2701-2633-113 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -8.0 | -8.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/18 08:53 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 08:46 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 08:25 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 08:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 07:44 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:03 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 06:23 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 06:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 05:23 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 04:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 03:01 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 02:50 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 02:23 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 01:53 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 01:23 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 01:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 01:04 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 12:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 12:14 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 12:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 11:53 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 11:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/18 10:59 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 10:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/18 10:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 10:05 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 09:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 08:54 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 08:24 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 07:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 07:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 06:34 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 05:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 02:43 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 02:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/18 12:31 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 10:23 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/17 09:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 04:32 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 01:11 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 10:47 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 10:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/17 08:34 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 12:34 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
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