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Kentucky at Alabama
Tue Jan 26, 2021
7:00pm ET
Tuscaloosa, AL
Kentucky at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 7, Total Points: 148
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UK | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-15-0 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-10-0 | 11-5-0 | |
| Away | 10-5-0 | 10-11-0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Morehead St | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Indiana St | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | S Alabama | -20.5 | W by 56 | +35.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Mercer | -30.5 | W by 31 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Ohio St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Oregon | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Clemson | -8.0 | L by 8 | -16.0 |
| 12/04 | Home | Arkansas St | -25.5 | W by 24 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Creighton | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | E Kentucky | -23.5 | W by 44 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Liberty | -9.5 | W by 45 | +35.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | S Carolina | -12.0 | W by 27 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Miss State | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Tennessee | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LSU | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Georgia | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miss State | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas A&M | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Tennessee | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Florida | +2.5 | L by 18 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arkansas | -15.5 | W by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Florida | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -8.0 | W by 13 | +5.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Grd Canyon | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Clemson | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Connecticut | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
| ALA -7.0 | Open | -8.5 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2687 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 2052 times (76.4%).
- The team like Kentucky won the game 635 times (23.6%).
- The team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 1324-1319-44 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 193 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 100-93 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.5 | -7.0 |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/26 06:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 06:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 01/26 06:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 06:08 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 05:26 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 05:25 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 01/26 03:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 03:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 02:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 01:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 01:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/26 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/26 01:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 01:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 12:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 11:44 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/26 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/26 11:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 10:59 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 10:38 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 10:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/26 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 01/26 10:17 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 09:44 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 01/26 09:35 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 01/26 08:08 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 06:23 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 05:55 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 02:37 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 10:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/25 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 01/25 10:23 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:50 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 06:50 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 05:34 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/25 05:32 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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