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Northwestern at Wake Forest
Tue Nov 30, 2021
9:00pm ET
Winston-Salem, NC
Northwestern at Wake Forest: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wake Forest by 2, Total Points: 147
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-2 | 18-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-1 | 13-5-1 | |
| Away | 9-7-1 | 5-11-0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Elon | -19.5 | W by 23 | +3.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Utah | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Towson | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Charl South | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Florida | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rutgers | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | NJIT | -26.0 | W by 24 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Delaware St | -20.0 | W by 29 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Presbyterian | -21.5 | W by 23 | +1.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Florida St | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Virginia | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | NC State | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Louisville | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | N Carolina | +8.0 | L by 21 | -13.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Pittsburgh | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Syracuse | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | GA Tech | -5.0 | W by 29 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | NC State | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Duke | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Virginia | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.0 | W by 33 | +27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Duke | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Notre Dame | -6.5 | L by 5 | -11.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | VA Tech | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | GA Tech | -13.5 | L by 1 | -14.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Clemson | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -2.0 | L by 12 | -14.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | App State | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Georgia | -7.0 | L by 6 | -13.0 |
| WAKE -2.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2749 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Wake Forest won the game 1569 times (57.1%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 1180 times (42.9%).
- The team like Wake Forest did better against the spread, going 1388-1301-60 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4264 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Wake Forest did better against the spread, going 2094-2084-86 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.0 | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/30 08:49 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:34 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 07:46 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 07:01 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:47 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/30 05:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 04:44 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/30 04:31 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:34 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/30 02:20 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/30 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/30 01:14 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/30 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/30 12:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/30 12:31 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:20 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:54 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/30 11:43 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/30 10:16 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:44 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/30 09:34 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:25 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/30 09:05 AM | -- | -- | (Pick) |
| 11/30 09:04 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 11/30 08:34 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/30 07:24 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/30 07:10 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:28 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:04 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:40 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 10:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/29 10:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/29 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/29 09:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/29 09:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:44 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/29 07:54 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/29 07:37 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 04:44 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 11/29 03:04 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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