NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NW WAKE
Points 71.4 75.6
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 22.0
Points From Free Throws 13.3 16.2
Shooting NW WAKE
Field Goals Made 25.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 51.7
Field Goal % 43.9% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 13.3 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.4
Free Throw % 75.6% 79.2%
Ball Control NW WAKE
Rebounds 29.2 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 5.7
Turnovers 8.4 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.3
Steals 6.0 4.6
Fouls 16.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NW WAKE
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 63.6
% of Possessions with NW WAKE
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 25.5%
Player Fouled 22.0% 24.4%
Turnover 12.3% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NW WAKE
Shot Blocked 8.4% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 20.6%