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Kentucky at LSU
Tue Feb 18, 2020
9:00pm ET
Baton Rouge, LA
Kentucky at LSU: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisiana State by 2.5, Total Points: 149.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UK | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-15-0 | 13-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-10-0 | 6-12-0 | |
| Away | 10-5-0 | 7-8-0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Mex State | -15.0 | W by 40 | +25.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -29.0 | W by 20 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Stonehill | -37.5 | W by 34 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | St Josephs | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Marshall | -18.5 | W by 36 | +17.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Miami | -6.0 | W by 22 | +16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -18.0 | L by 7 | -25.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | U Penn | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Illinois St | -20.0 | W by 26 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miss State | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Georgia | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Arkansas | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Florida | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Tennessee | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Gonzaga | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | W by 11 | +19.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -6.5 | L by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Alabama | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Miss State | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.0 | W by 16 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Tennessee | +8.5 | W by 4 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Oakland | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miss Val St | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | L by 2 | -21.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Dayton | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Florida | -22.0 | W by 12 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | L by 23 | -21.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SE Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Kansas St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Alabama St | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Lamar | -16.5 | W by 21 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NW State | -25.0 | W by 41 | +16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 15 | +26.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Auburn | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Georgia | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Alabama | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Arkansas | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tennessee | +14.0 | L by 20 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Florida | +11.0 | L by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Kentucky | +6.5 | W by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Vanderbilt | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Arkansas | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Miss State | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | North Texas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| LSU -2.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3031 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 1754 times (57.9%).
- The team like Kentucky won the game 1277 times (42.1%).
- The team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 1501-1483-47 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4775 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 2359-2320-96 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.0 | -2.5 |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/18 09:00 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 07:34 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/18 07:16 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 07:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/18 06:42 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/18 05:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 05:07 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 04:31 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 12:52 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 12:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/18 11:38 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/18 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/18 09:33 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/18 08:18 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 07:53 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 04:20 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 02:12 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/18 12:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/17 11:11 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/17 08:49 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/17 07:45 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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