NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEV ORE
Points 71.0 69.9
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 20.2
Points From Free Throws 16.8 15.4
Shooting NEV ORE
Field Goals Made 23.7 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 55.8
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 16.8 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 21.2
Free Throw % 71.2% 72.9%
Ball Control NEV ORE
Rebounds 33.1 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.5
Turnovers 10.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.9
Steals 5.0 5.4
Fouls 16.9 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Nevada

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEV ORE
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 68.6
% of Possessions with NEV ORE
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 27.2%
Player Fouled 26.6% 24.6%
Turnover 14.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEV ORE
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 27.1%