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Nevada at UNLV
Sat Jan 28, 2023
10:00pm ET
Las Vegas, NV
Nevada at UNLV: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: UNLV by 1.5, Total Points: 140.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEV | adv | UNLV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-12-0 | 21-11-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 14-5-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-0 | 11-4-0 | |
| Away | 11-6-0 | 10-7-0 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Sac State | -13.5 | W by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Washington | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Pacific | -13.0 | W by 49 | +36.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Montana | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UC Davis | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Drake | -4.5 | L by 19 | -23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Weber St | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Hawaii | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Temple | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | TX Christian | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 12/24 | Neutral | GA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Fresno Pacific | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Air Force | -14.0 | W by 13 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Boise St | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wyoming | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Colorado St | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | New Mexico | +8.5 | L by 34 | -25.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | San Jose St | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah St | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Diego St | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | New Mexico | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UNLV | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Wyoming | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | San Jose St | -10.5 | W by 21 | +10.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Colorado St | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Fresno St | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Boise St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | UNLV | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Dayton | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
UNLV Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Home | Southern | -20.5 | L by 14 | -34.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stetson | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Pepperdine | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Florida St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Richmond | -2.5 | L by 17 | -19.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Akron | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Loyola Mymt | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Creighton | +13.5 | W by 15 | +28.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | St Marys | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Hofstra | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Carroll | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 01/02 | Home | Bethesda University | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | San Diego St | +8.5 | L by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | New Mexico | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Utah St | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Boise St | +5.0 | W by 4 | +9.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Colorado St | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Air Force | -10.5 | L by 32 | -42.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Jose St | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Fresno St | -8.0 | W by 9 | +1.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Wyoming | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | New Mexico | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Fresno St | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Nevada | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Air Force | -6.5 | W by 29 | +22.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Colorado St | -1.0 | W by 6 | +5.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Wyoming | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | San Jose St | -13.5 | W by 18 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | San Diego St | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Nevada | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | San Diego St | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Princeton | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Boston Col | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Seton Hall | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| UNLV -1.5 | Open | +1.0 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -1.0 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2567 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like UNLV won the game 1441 times (56.1%).
- The team like Nevada won the game 1126 times (43.9%).
- The team like UNLV did better against the spread, going 1301-1223-43 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 546 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 287-255-4 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -1.0 | -- |
| Open | +1.0 | +1.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/28 09:41 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 05:32 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:32 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/28 12:44 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 12:35 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:56 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/28 11:38 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:51 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:03 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 01/27 10:19 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:07 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:22 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
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