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NC State at Notre Dame
Wed Mar 3, 2021
7:00pm ET
South Bend, IN
NC State at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Notre Dame by 3.5, Total Points: 144.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NCST | adv | ND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-20-1 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-12-1 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 8-9-0 | 8-9-0 | |
| Away | 12-11-1 | 10-6-0 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Citadel | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Abl Christian | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Charl South | -24.5 | W by 34 | +9.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | BYU | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Mississippi | +2.0 | L by 20 | -18.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Boston Col | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Maryland ES | -26.5 | W by 32 | +5.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | TN Martin | -19.5 | W by 14 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Saint Louis | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 17 | -6.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Virginia | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Virginia | +6.0 | L by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Syracuse | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | GA Tech | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Pittsburgh | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Wake Forest | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Syracuse | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Boston Col | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Florida St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Duke | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Louisville | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duke | +11.0 | W by 5 | +16.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Virginia | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +10.0 | W by 8 | +18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +5.0 | W by 13 | +18.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Oakland | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Marquette | +7.5 | W by 9 | +16.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Duke | +7.0 | W by 12 | +19.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Purdue | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Niagara | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | W Carolina | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +14.5 | L by 24 | -9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Maryland ES | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +14.5 | L by 13 | +1.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | W Michigan | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Marquette | +20.0 | L by 19 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Georgetown | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Citadel | -8.5 | L by 20 | -28.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Marist | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Virginia | +9.5 | W by 22 | +31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | NC State | +5.0 | L by 2 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Duke | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | GA Tech | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Florida St | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miami | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Boston Col | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Virginia | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Pittsburgh | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | VA Tech | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | GA Tech | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Louisville | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Syracuse | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Wake Forest | +6.5 | W by 5 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Carolina | +16.0 | L by 33 | -17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | VA Tech | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | GA Tech | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| ND -3.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3303 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 2047 times (62.0%).
- The team like NC State won the game 1256 times (38.0%).
- The team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 1660-1594-49 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 98 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 49-46-3 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Open | -1.0 | -1.0 | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/03 07:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/03 06:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 03/03 06:29 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 03/03 06:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/03 05:47 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 03/03 05:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 05:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 05:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 04:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 04:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 03:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 03:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 02:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 03/03 02:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 02:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 02:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 02:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 01:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 12:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 12:02 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 03/03 11:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 03/03 11:14 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 03/03 11:11 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:56 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:14 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 10:08 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 03/03 08:41 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 02:38 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 03/02 10:14 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 03/02 09:26 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:17 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:14 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 03/02 04:59 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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