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NC State vs. Marquette
Fri Mar 29, 2024
7:09pm ET
Dallas, TX
(Neutral Site)
NC State vs. Marquette: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Marquette by 7.5, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NCST | adv | MARQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 20-20-1 | 21-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-12-1 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-9-0 | 11-5-0 | |
| Away | 12-11-1 | 10-10-1 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Citadel | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Abl Christian | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Charl South | -24.5 | W by 34 | +9.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | BYU | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Mississippi | +2.0 | L by 20 | -18.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Boston Col | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Maryland ES | -26.5 | W by 32 | +5.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | TN Martin | -19.5 | W by 14 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Saint Louis | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 17 | -6.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Virginia | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Virginia | +6.0 | L by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Syracuse | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | GA Tech | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Pittsburgh | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Wake Forest | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Syracuse | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Boston Col | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Florida St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Duke | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Louisville | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duke | +11.0 | W by 5 | +16.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Virginia | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +10.0 | W by 8 | +18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +5.0 | W by 13 | +18.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Oakland | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Marquette | +7.5 | W by 9 | +16.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Duke | +7.0 | W by 12 | +19.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Purdue | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
Marquette Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Illinois | -25.0 | W by 22 | -3.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Rider | -24.0 | W by 30 | +6.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Illinois | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UCLA | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Kansas | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Southern | -32.0 | W by 37 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Wisconsin | -3.0 | L by 11 | -14.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Texas | -8.5 | W by 21 | +12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Notre Dame | -20.0 | W by 19 | -1.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | St. Thomas | -23.5 | W by 5 | -18.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Providence | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Georgetown | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Creighton | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Seton Hall | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Butler | -11.5 | L by 7 | -18.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Villanova | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | St Johns | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | DePaul | -18.0 | W by 13 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Villanova | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Georgetown | -12.0 | W by 34 | +22.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | St Johns | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Butler | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 28 | -21.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | DePaul | -27.5 | W by 34 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Providence | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Creighton | +8.0 | L by 14 | -6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Connecticut | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Xavier | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Providence | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Connecticut | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | W Kentucky | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Colorado | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | NC State | -7.5 | L by 9 | -16.5 |
| MARQ -7.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 653 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Marquette won the game 489 times (74.9%).
- The team like NC State won the game 164 times (25.1%).
- The team like NC State did better against the spread, going 333-314-6 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3586 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like NC State did better against the spread, going 1761-1759-66 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/29 06:58 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:48 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/29 06:46 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/29 05:13 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 04:58 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 04:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/29 04:08 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:40 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:40 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/29 02:40 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 01:28 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 11:19 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:46 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:34 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:49 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:44 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:07 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/29 08:01 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:02 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/29 02:10 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/29 01:07 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 11:10 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 03:13 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/28 08:31 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 10:46 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 12:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 11:17 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/27 07:10 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 02:11 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 01:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 01:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 10:43 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 01:31 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/25 11:16 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/25 10:11 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 10:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 02:43 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 05:13 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 04:53 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 03:56 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 03:19 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
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