NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).
Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU UAB
Points 64.1 67.3
Total Points   131.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 12.8 10.3
Points From Free Throws 13.3 21.3
Shooting UVU UAB
Field Goals Made 23.2 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 55.9
Field Goal % 41.8% 38.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 42.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 3.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 14.2
3 Point Shooting % 22.8% 24.1%
Free Throws Made 13.3 21.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 29.7
Free Throw % 60.4% 71.8%
Ball Control UVU UAB
Rebounds 35.2 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 11.1
Turnovers 11.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.1
Steals 5.6 6.0
Fouls 18.4 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU UAB
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 73.2
% of Possessions with UVU UAB
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 16.6%
Player Fouled 22.5% 25.4%
Turnover 16.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU UAB
Shot Blocked 9.4% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 28.5%