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Michigan at N Carolina
Wed Dec 1, 2021
9:15pm ET
Chapel Hill, NC
Michigan at N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 2.5, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-24-0 | 21-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-17-0 | 13-10-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-10-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 3-14-0 | 13-9-0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| MICH -2.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2133 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 1194 times (56.0%).
- The team like North Carolina won the game 939 times (44.0%).
- The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 1069-1031-33 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2856 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 1413-1388-55 (50.4% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/01 09:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 12/01 09:13 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 08:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 08:19 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 07:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 06:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 05:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 12:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 11:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 11:11 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 09:50 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 09:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/01 09:31 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 12/01 08:34 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 12/01 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 12/01 08:22 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 08:14 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/01 08:10 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 06:34 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/01 12:45 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/01 12:37 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 07:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/30 06:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/30 06:19 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:04 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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