BetIQ
Make Smarter Sports Bets
Miss State vs. Louisville
Mon Dec 30, 2019
4:00pm ET
Nashville, TN
(Neutral Site)
Music City Bowl: Miss State vs. Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi St. by 4.5, Total Points: 64.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-1 | 6-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-1 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-7-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-1 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-3-0 | 1-6-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| MSST -4.5 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 269 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 174 times (64.7%).
- The team like Louisville won the game 95 times (35.3%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 135-133-1 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 342 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 170-166-6 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/30 04:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 04:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/30 04:00 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 03:14 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 03:03 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 02:30 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 01:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/30 12:58 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:47 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/30 12:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 11:49 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 11:28 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 11:06 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:46 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:24 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:24 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/30 10:12 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 09:48 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 09:04 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/30 05:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 05:54 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:46 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 08:53 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/29 08:53 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 08:43 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/29 08:30 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 12:17 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 01:34 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/29 01:14 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 05:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/28 06:49 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 01:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/26 08:01 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 07:52 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 09:46 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 11:53 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 12:50 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 09:01 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 02:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/11 08:21 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 05:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 02:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 06:41 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
Printed from TeamRankings.com - © 2005-2024 Team Rankings, LLC. All Rights Reserved.