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California vs. Texas Tech
Sat Dec 16, 2023
9:15pm ET
Shreveport, LA
(Neutral Site)
Independence Bowl: California vs. Texas Tech: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Texas Tech by 3.5, Total Points: 54.5
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | CAL | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 5-8-0 |
| vs Conference | 0-1-0 | 3-5-0 |
| Streak | Un 3 | Un 1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 2-5-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
California Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | North Texas | 53.5 | 58-21 | Over | +25.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Auburn | 55.5 | 10-14 | Under | -31.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Idaho | 53.0 | 31-17 | Under | -5.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Washington | 55.5 | 32-59 | Over | +35.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Arizona St | 47.0 | 24-21 | Under | -2.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Oregon St | 51.0 | 40-52 | Over | +41.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Utah | 43.0 | 14-34 | Over | +5.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | USC | 67.5 | 49-50 | Over | +31.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Oregon | 62.0 | 19-63 | Over | +20.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Wash State | 60.0 | 42-39 | Over | +21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Stanford | 53.0 | 27-15 | Under | -11.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | UCLA | 50.5 | 33-7 | Under | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas Tech | 54.5 | 14-34 | Under | -6.5 |
Texas Tech Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Wyoming | 50.5 | 33-35 | Over | +17.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Oregon | 68.5 | 30-38 | Under | -0.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Tarleton State | 76.0 | 41-3 | Under | -32.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | W Virginia | 53.5 | 13-20 | Under | -20.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Houston | 52.0 | 49-28 | Over | +25.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Baylor | 60.0 | 39-14 | Under | -7.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Kansas St | 57.5 | 21-38 | Over | +1.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | BYU | 49.5 | 14-27 | Under | -8.5 |
| 11/02 | Home | TX Christian | 59.0 | 35-28 | Over | +4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kansas | 63.0 | 16-13 | Under | -34.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UCF | 59.0 | 24-23 | Under | -12.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Texas | 53.5 | 7-57 | Over | +10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | California | 54.5 | 34-14 | Under | -6.5 |
| Total 54.5 | Open | 58.5 | High | 59.0 |
| Last | 55.0 | Low | 54.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 489 games with over/under lines between 53.5 and 55.5. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 252 times (51.5%).
- Games have gone under the line 234 times (47.9%).
- Games have pushed the line 3 times (0.6%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 60 games where the closing over/under line moved 4 points lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the over and under performed equally, going 30-30 (50.0%). Game totals went over the line by an average of 1.1 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 54.0 | 55.5 | -- |
| Open | 58.0 | 58.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/16 09:17 PM | 54.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 09:02 PM | 54.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:56 PM | 54.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:44 PM | 54.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:29 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 07:53 PM | 54.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 07:41 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 07:13 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 07:00 PM | -- | 55.5 | -- |
| 12/16 06:47 PM | 55.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 06:29 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 06:15 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 05:29 PM | 56.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 04:44 PM | 56.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 03:09 PM | -- | 56.5 | -- |
| 12/16 02:47 PM | 56.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 11:44 AM | 57.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 11:41 AM | -- | 57.0 | -- |
| 12/16 10:15 AM | 57.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 09:58 AM | -- | 57.5 | -- |
| 12/16 09:49 AM | 58.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:26 AM | 58.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 10:39 PM | 58.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 03:18 PM | -- | 58.0 | -- |
| 12/15 03:11 PM | 58.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 02:23 PM | 56.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 01:49 PM | -- | 56.5 | -- |
| 12/15 12:32 PM | 56.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:26 AM | 56.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 04:08 PM | -- | 57.0 | -- |
| 12/14 03:53 PM | 56.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 11:57 AM | -- | 57.5 | -- |
| 12/13 04:11 PM | 57.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:17 PM | 59.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 09:09 AM | -- | 58.0 | -- |
| 12/13 08:03 AM | 58.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 04:52 PM | 58.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:49 AM | 58.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 08:05 AM | 58.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 04:09 PM | 58.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:19 PM | -- | 57.5 | -- |
| 12/04 01:17 PM | -- | 57.5 | -- |
| 12/03 10:17 PM | -- | 58.5 | -- |
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