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California vs. Texas Tech
Sat Dec 16, 2023
9:15pm ET
Shreveport, LA
(Neutral Site)
Independence Bowl: California vs. Texas Tech: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas Tech by 3.5, Total Points: 54.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CAL | adv | TTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-0-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 3-4-0 |
California Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | North Texas | -5.0 | W by 37 | +32.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Auburn | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Idaho | -15.0 | W by 14 | -1.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Washington | +20.0 | L by 27 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Arizona St | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Oregon St | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Utah | +9.0 | L by 20 | -11.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | USC | +10.5 | L by 1 | +9.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Oregon | +26.5 | L by 44 | -17.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Wash State | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Stanford | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | UCLA | +9.5 | W by 26 | +35.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
Texas Tech Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Wyoming | -13.5 | L by 2 | -15.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Oregon | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Tarleton State | -36.5 | W by 38 | +1.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | W Virginia | -6.0 | L by 7 | -13.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Kansas St | -1.0 | L by 17 | -18.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | BYU | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | TX Christian | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | UCF | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Texas | +16.0 | L by 50 | -34.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | California | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| TTU -3.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 102 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas Tech won the game 61 times (59.8%).
- The team like California won the game 41 times (40.2%).
- The team like California did better against the spread, going 51-48-3 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 395 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas Tech did better against the spread, going 200-187-8 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/16 09:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 07:41 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 02:47 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 01:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 11:44 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 11:35 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 11:30 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 10:15 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:26 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 10:39 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 03:18 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/15 02:23 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 01:49 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/15 12:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 11:26 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 11:17 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 07:35 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 02:28 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/13 10:39 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 04:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 08:03 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 05:35 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:20 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 02:09 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 08:56 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:49 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:49 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/07 04:09 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:19 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/04 01:07 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/04 09:07 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/03 10:17 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
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