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Virginia at Louisville
Sat Oct 26, 2019
3:30pm ET
Louisville, KY
Virginia at Louisville: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 4, Total Points: 51
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | UVA | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-2-2 | 7-6-1 |
| vs Conference | 5-1-2 | 5-4-0 |
| Streak | Ov 5 | Ov 1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Last 10 | 6-2-2 | 5-5-0 |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-3-1 |
| Away | 4-0-2 | 4-3-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Virginia Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | Tennessee | 55.5 | 13-49 | Over | +6.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | James Mad | 39.5 | 35-36 | Over | +31.5 |
| 09/15 | Away | Maryland | 48.0 | 14-42 | Over | +8.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | NC State | 47.0 | 21-24 | Under | -2.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Boston Col | 51.0 | 24-27 | Push | 0.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Wm & Mary | 41.5 | 27-13 | Under | -1.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Carolina | 58.0 | 31-27 | Push | 0.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Miami | 48.0 | 26-29 | Over | +7.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Tech | 56.5 | 17-45 | Over | +5.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | 50.0 | 24-31 | Over | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Duke | 45.5 | 30-27 | Over | +11.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | VA Tech | 53.5 | 17-55 | Over | +18.5 |
Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | 49.5 | 39-34 | Over | +23.5 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | 56.0 | 56-0 | Push | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | 50.0 | 21-14 | Under | -15.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | 53.5 | 56-28 | Over | +30.5 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | 56.5 | 13-10 | Under | -33.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | 54.0 | 33-20 | Under | -1.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | 45.0 | 21-38 | Over | +14.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | 47.0 | 23-0 | Under | -24.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | 46.5 | 34-3 | Under | -9.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | 50.0 | 31-24 | Over | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | 46.0 | 38-31 | Over | +23.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | 48.0 | 31-38 | Over | +21.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | 46.0 | 6-16 | Under | -24.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | 58.0 | 28-42 | Over | +12.0 |
| Total 51.0 | Open | 55.5 | High | 55.5 |
| Last | 51.5 | Low | 51.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 456 games with over/under lines between 50 and 52. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 209 times (45.8%).
- Games have gone under the line 238 times (52.2%).
- Games have pushed the line 9 times (2.0%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 45 games where the closing over/under line moved 4.5 points lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the over performed better, going 23-22 (51.1%). Game totals went over the line by an average of 4.2 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 51.0 | 51.5 | -- |
| Open | 55.5 | 55.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/26 03:30 PM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:14 PM | -- | 51.5 | -- |
| 10/26 03:05 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 10/26 03:01 PM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 02:24 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 10/26 01:54 PM | 52.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 01:44 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 10/26 01:24 PM | 52.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:50 PM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 12:35 PM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 11:59 AM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 09:44 AM | -- | 51.0 | -- |
| 10/26 05:46 AM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 03:14 AM | -- | 51.5 | -- |
| 10/26 12:20 AM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 08:04 PM | -- | 51.0 | -- |
| 10/25 07:34 PM | -- | 51.0 | -- |
| 10/25 05:06 PM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/25 01:34 PM | -- | 51.5 | -- |
| 10/25 12:51 PM | 51.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/24 11:09 AM | 52.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:02 PM | 52.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 07:23 PM | 52.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 03:48 PM | 52.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 03:15 PM | 52.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:54 AM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 10/23 11:35 AM | 52.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:14 AM | -- | 54.5 | -- |
| 10/23 10:54 AM | -- | 53.0 | -- |
| 10/23 08:04 AM | 53.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:44 PM | -- | 54.5 | -- |
| 10/22 09:14 PM | -- | 54.0 | -- |
| 10/22 09:09 PM | 53.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 07:54 PM | -- | 54.5 | -- |
| 10/22 07:44 PM | -- | 54.5 | -- |
| 10/22 07:09 PM | 54.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:48 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:44 PM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 10/22 04:28 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:14 PM | -- | 54.0 | -- |
| 10/22 04:00 PM | 54.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 01:04 PM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 10/22 09:44 AM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 10/22 08:54 AM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 10/22 06:54 AM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 10/21 07:54 PM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 10/21 07:14 PM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 10/21 05:54 PM | -- | 55.0 | -- |
| 10/21 05:34 PM | -- | 55.5 | -- |
| 10/21 05:22 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 04:54 PM | -- | 55.5 | -- |
| 10/21 04:33 PM | 55.5 | -- | -- |
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