NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL DAL
Points 116.1 115.8
Total Points   231.9
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 56.8
Points From 3-Pointers 43.0 41.8
Points From Free Throws 18.6 17.2
Shooting MIL DAL
Field Goals Made 41.6 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 89.9
Field Goal % 47.2% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.3 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 50.3 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 37.9 38.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 18.6 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 22.8
Free Throw % 78.0% 75.4%
Ball Control MIL DAL
Rebounds 50.7 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 38.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.2
Turnovers 11.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.3
Steals 6.1 5.8
Fouls 18.8 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL DAL
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 103.2
% of Possessions with MIL DAL
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 33.7%
Player Fouled 16.6% 18.3%
Turnover 11.2% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL DAL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 20.3%