NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL IND
Points 121.0 121.3
Total Points   242.3
Points From 2-Pointers 64.8 67.8
Points From 3-Pointers 34.2 37.3
Points From Free Throws 22.0 16.2
Shooting MIL IND
Field Goals Made 43.8 46.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 93.2
Field Goal % 50.3% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 32.4 33.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.1 58.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 22.0 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.2 21.0
Free Throw % 78.0% 77.6%
Ball Control MIL IND
Rebounds 49.1 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.7
Turnovers 11.7 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.0
Steals 5.3 6.3
Fouls 17.2 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL IND
Total Possessions 104.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 105.0
% of Possessions with MIL IND
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 29.4%
Player Fouled 18.9% 16.4%
Turnover 11.3% 9.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL IND
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 21.7%