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Boston at Denver
Sun Apr 11, 2021
3:00pm ET
Denver, CO
Boston at Denver: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Denver by 3.5, Total Points: 220.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BOS | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-37-5 | 40-43-2 | |
| vs Division | 9-5-3 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Conference | 25-25-4 | 24-30-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-5-2 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 23-18-2 | 22-20-1 | |
| Away | 19-19-3 | 18-23-1 |
Boston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | New York | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 10/27 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Indiana | -13.0 | W by 51 | +38.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | New York | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Philadelphia | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 2 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Chicago | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Philadelphia | -12.0 | W by 6 | -6.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | New York | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Cleveland | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Cleveland | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Orlando | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Golden State | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Sacramento | +4.0 | W by 25 | +29.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 37 | +32.5 |
| 12/25 | Away | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Detroit | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 33 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Okla City | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Utah | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Minnesota | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.0 | L by 33 | -31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Houston | -15.0 | W by 32 | +17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Toronto | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Denver | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Houston | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Miami | -8.5 | W by 33 | +24.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LA Clippers | -7.0 | L by 19 | -26.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | New Orleans | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | LA Lakers | -15.5 | L by 9 | -24.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Memphis | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Atlanta | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Miami | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Brooklyn | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -11.5 | W by 50 | +38.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Chicago | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | New York | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -11.5 | W by 18 | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 28 | +19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Golden State | -8.0 | W by 52 | +44.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Cleveland | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Denver | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Phoenix | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Portland | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | Utah | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Washington | -14.5 | W by 26 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Detroit | -15.0 | W by 25 | +10.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Milwaukee | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Detroit | -14.0 | W by 27 | +13.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Chicago | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Atlanta | -10.5 | L by 2 | -12.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | Atlanta | -16.0 | L by 1 | -17.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | New Orleans | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | Charlotte | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Okla City | -12.0 | W by 35 | +23.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 1 | -8.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Portland | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 04/11 | Home | New York | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 33 | +25.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Miami | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 04/24 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | L by 10 | -24.0 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Okla City | -3.5 | W by 33 | +29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 22 | +13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | New Orleans | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Orlando | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.0 | W by 9 | +20.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Phoenix | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Okla City | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Dallas | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Golden State | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | W by 37 | +28.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 26 | -28.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Charlotte | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Golden State | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Orlando | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Detroit | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Utah | -7.0 | L by 13 | -20.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | New York | -2.5 | L by 38 | -40.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Okla City | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Portland | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 29 | -26.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Washington | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Boston | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Toronto | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Miami | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | New York | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | San Antonio | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 04/06 | Home | Atlanta | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Utah | -15.5 | W by 16 | +0.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 1 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 04/22 | Home | LA Lakers | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 04/25 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| DEN -3.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 1121 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Denver won the game 641 times (57.2%).
- The team like Boston won the game 480 times (42.8%).
- The team like Boston did better against the spread, going 558-553-10 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 89 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Boston did better against the spread, going 55-32-2 (63.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 04/11 03:07 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 02:55 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 02:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 02:37 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 02:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 04/11 02:25 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 04/11 02:16 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 02:04 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 04/11 01:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 04/11 01:52 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 01:47 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 04/11 01:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 04/11 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 04/11 01:22 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 01:16 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 01:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 12:52 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 12:46 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 12:37 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 12:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 04/11 12:16 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 12:04 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 11:52 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 11:34 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 11:28 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 10:58 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 10:34 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 10:10 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 10:04 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 09:46 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 09:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 04/11 09:28 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/11 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
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