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Atlanta at Denver
Tue Nov 12, 2019
9:00pm ET
Denver, CO
Atlanta at Denver: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Denver by 10.5, Total Points: 209.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-54-0 | 39-43-2 | |
| vs Division | 4-12-0 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-38-0 | 23-30-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 15-26-0 | 22-20-1 | |
| Away | 14-28-0 | 17-23-1 |
Atlanta Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Charlotte | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 10/27 | Home | New York | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Washington | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 18 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 11/09 | Neutral | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 1 | -2.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | L by 8 | -15.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Detroit | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | New York | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Washington | -8.5 | W by 28 | +19.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Cleveland | +4.5 | L by 23 | -18.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | San Antonio | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.5 | L by 11 | -2.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Toronto | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Toronto | +1.5 | W by 21 | +22.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Cleveland | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Detroit | -11.5 | W by 6 | -5.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Miami | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Memphis | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 12/26 | Away | Chicago | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Sacramento | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Washington | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Okla City | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 34 | -31.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Philadelphia | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Indiana | -6.0 | L by 18 | -24.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | L by 28 | -36.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Miami | +7.0 | W by 1 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 21 | -19.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Sacramento | +8.5 | L by 15 | -6.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Golden State | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Toronto | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Boston | +11.5 | L by 8 | +3.5 |
| 02/09 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 10 | -15.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Charlotte | -7.0 | L by 23 | -30.0 |
| 02/23 | Home | Toronto | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Orlando | -2.0 | W by 17 | +15.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Utah | -2.0 | W by 27 | +25.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Brooklyn | +1.0 | L by 27 | -26.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | New York | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Cleveland | -3.0 | W by 11 | +8.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | New Orleans | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 03/13 | Away | Portland | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Utah | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/17 | Away | LA Clippers | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | LA Lakers | +9.0 | L by 31 | -22.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Phoenix | +9.0 | L by 13 | -4.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 41 | +33.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Boston | +10.5 | W by 2 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Portland | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 03/28 | Home | Boston | +16.0 | W by 1 | +17.0 |
| 03/30 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 04/01 | Away | Chicago | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Detroit | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | Dallas | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 04/06 | Away | Denver | +10.5 | L by 32 | -21.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Miami | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Minnesota | +12.0 | L by 3 | +9.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Indiana | +13.5 | L by 42 | -28.5 |
| 04/17 | Away | Chicago | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Okla City | -3.5 | W by 33 | +29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 22 | +13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | New Orleans | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Orlando | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.0 | W by 9 | +20.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Phoenix | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Okla City | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Dallas | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Golden State | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | W by 37 | +28.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 26 | -28.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Charlotte | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Golden State | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Orlando | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Detroit | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Utah | -7.0 | L by 13 | -20.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | New York | -2.5 | L by 38 | -40.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Okla City | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Portland | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 29 | -26.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Washington | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Boston | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Toronto | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Miami | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | New York | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | San Antonio | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 04/06 | Home | Atlanta | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Utah | -15.5 | W by 16 | +0.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 1 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 04/22 | Home | LA Lakers | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| DEN -10.5 | Open | -12.0 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 629 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9.5 to 11.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Denver won the game 509 times (80.9%).
- The team like Atlanta won the game 120 times (19.1%).
- The team like Atlanta did better against the spread, going 349-272-8 (56.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 799 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Denver did better against the spread, going 405-383-11 (51.4% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.5 | -10.5 | -10.5 |
| Open | -11.0 | -11.0 | -11.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/12 09:07 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 08:54 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 11/12 08:45 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 08:45 PM | -- | -- | -10.5 |
| 11/12 08:44 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/12 08:15 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 07:24 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/12 07:08 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 06:55 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 06:24 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/12 06:11 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 05:55 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 05:54 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/12 05:04 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/12 04:55 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 04:44 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/12 04:14 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/12 02:19 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 01:42 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 12:53 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 11/12 12:45 PM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 11/12 12:44 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 12:08 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 11:38 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 10:55 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 10:45 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 10:06 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 11/12 09:44 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
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