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Miami at Phoenix
Tue Apr 13, 2021
10:00pm ET
Phoenix, AZ
Miami at Phoenix: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Phoenix by 3.5, Total Points: 216.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-44-2 | 35-49-2 | |
| vs Division | 9-6-1 | 8-10-0 | |
| vs Conference | 29-28-2 | 23-33-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 17-27-0 | 16-26-1 | |
| Away | 26-17-2 | 19-23-1 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 04/19 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 04/24 | Away | Boston | +14.0 | W by 10 | +24.0 |
| 04/27 | Home | Boston | +9.5 | L by 20 | -10.5 |
| 04/29 | Home | Boston | +10.5 | L by 14 | -3.5 |
| 05/01 | Away | Boston | +13.5 | L by 34 | -20.5 |
Phoenix Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 10/26 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Utah | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | San Antonio | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | Detroit | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | LA Lakers | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Okla City | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Minnesota | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Utah | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Utah | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | W by 13 | +1.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | New York | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | LA Lakers | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Golden State | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | New York | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Washington | -13.0 | W by 4 | -9.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Portland | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Dallas | -4.0 | L by 14 | -18.0 |
| 12/27 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charlotte | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Portland | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Memphis | -8.0 | L by 6 | -14.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 27 | -22.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Portland | -14.0 | W by 11 | -3.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | New Orleans | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Orlando | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Miami | +2.0 | W by 13 | +15.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Atlanta | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | W by 28 | +17.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Milwaukee | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Golden State | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Sacramento | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Dallas | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | Houston | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Denver | +8.5 | W by 10 | +18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Toronto | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Cleveland | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Away | Boston | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Charlotte | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Philadelphia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Atlanta | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | San Antonio | -12.0 | L by 2 | -14.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 25 | -27.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | New Orleans | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Cleveland | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | LA Clippers | -9.5 | L by 13 | -22.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Sacramento | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 04/20 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 04/26 | Home | Minnesota | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 04/28 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| PHO -3.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 1123 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Phoenix won the game 643 times (57.3%).
- The team like Miami won the game 480 times (42.7%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 558-555-10 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 1182 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 587-569-26 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 04/13 10:07 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 10:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 04/13 09:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 04/13 09:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 04/13 09:10 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 08:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 04/13 08:34 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 08:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 08:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 07:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 04/13 06:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 04/13 06:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 05:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 05:25 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 05:13 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 05:04 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 04:58 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 04:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 04/13 04:43 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 04:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 04/13 04:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 04:28 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 03:19 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 03:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 02:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 04/13 01:49 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 01:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 04/13 01:25 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 01:04 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 12:16 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 11:19 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 10:10 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 09:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 04/13 09:19 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 09:16 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 09:07 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 09:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 04/13 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 04/13 08:49 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 04/13 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 04/13 07:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 04/13 04:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 04/12 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 04/12 05:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 04/12 04:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 04/12 04:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 04/12 04:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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