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Miami vs. Okla City
Wed Aug 12, 2020
8:00pm ET
Kissimmee, FL
(Neutral Site)
Miami vs. Okla City: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 4, Total Points: 221
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-41-2 | 47-36-1 | |
| vs Division | 9-6-1 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 29-25-2 | 31-22-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 17-25-0 | 28-15-0 | |
| Away | 26-16-2 | 19-21-1 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 04/19 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 04/24 | Away | Boston | +14.0 | W by 10 | +24.0 |
Okla City Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Chicago | +2.5 | W by 20 | +22.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Cleveland | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/29 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 33 | -29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Detroit | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 11/03 | Home | Golden State | +6.0 | L by 2 | +4.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Cleveland | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Sacramento | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Phoenix | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 36 | +26.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Golden State | -3.0 | W by 19 | +16.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Portland | -7.0 | W by 43 | +36.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Chicago | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Dallas | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Houston | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Utah | -13.0 | W by 14 | +1.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Sacramento | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Denver | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 19 | +12.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Minnesota | -2.0 | W by 23 | +21.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | New York | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Denver | +2.0 | W by 26 | +28.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Boston | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Atlanta | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 62 | +48.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Orlando | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 26 | +17.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | New Orleans | -1.0 | W by 24 | +23.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | L by 16 | -28.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Denver | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Charlotte | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Toronto | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 35 | -36.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Sacramento | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Orlando | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | LA Clippers | -1.5 | W by 22 | +20.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Washington | -16.0 | W by 41 | +25.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Houston | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 17 | +7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | L by 14 | -25.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Phoenix | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Portland | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Memphis | -15.0 | W by 31 | +16.0 |
| 03/12 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Dallas | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Utah | -16.0 | W by 12 | -4.0 |
| 03/22 | Away | Toronto | -16.5 | W by 20 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 03/26 | Away | New Orleans | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Houston | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Phoenix | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Boston | +12.0 | L by 35 | -23.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Indiana | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | San Antonio | -17.0 | W by 38 | +21.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Milwaukee | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Dallas | -19.5 | W by 49 | +29.5 |
| 04/21 | Home | New Orleans | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 04/24 | Home | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 32 | +24.5 |
| MIA -4.0 | Open | +4.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | +4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 775 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 474 times (61.2%).
- The team like Oklahoma City won the game 301 times (38.8%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 393-368-14 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 207 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 113-92-2 (55.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -1.5 | -2.0 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 08/12 08:04 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 07:50 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 07:28 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 07:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 06:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 06:28 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 05:55 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 05:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 05:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 05:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 08/12 05:13 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 03:29 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 03:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 08/12 03:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 02:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 02:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 01:14 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 01:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 08/12 12:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 12:26 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 12:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 08/12 12:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 08/12 11:52 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 11:24 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 08/12 11:16 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 08/12 11:14 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 08/12 11:10 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 08/12 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 08/12 10:54 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 08/12 10:52 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 10:35 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 08/12 10:13 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 09:52 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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