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Sacramento at Minnesota
Sat Jan 28, 2023
8:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Sacramento at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Sacramento by 1, Total Points: 238.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SAC | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-40-1 | 44-40-2 | |
| vs Division | 12-5-1 | 10-4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 27-26-1 | 29-25-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 19-23-0 | 20-21-2 | |
| Away | 24-17-1 | 24-19-0 |
Sacramento Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Utah | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 1 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Houston | -2.0 | L by 25 | -27.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Portland | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Cleveland | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | LA Lakers | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 36 | -38.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | New Orleans | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 13 | +17.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Golden State | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Denver | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 12/08 | Away | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Washington | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Boston | -4.0 | L by 25 | -29.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Phoenix | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Portland | -9.0 | L by 17 | -26.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 31 | +32.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Charlotte | -15.0 | L by 7 | -22.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 33 | -37.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 21 | +10.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 25 | +16.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +1.0 | L by 19 | -18.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Indiana | -8.5 | L by 5 | -13.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Atlanta | -8.5 | W by 15 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Golden State | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Dallas | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Memphis | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Miami | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Chicago | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | L by 26 | -21.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | L by 13 | -26.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Denver | -3.0 | W by 29 | +26.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +4.0 | W by 16 | +20.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | L by 11 | -18.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | L by 21 | -12.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Minnesota | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Chicago | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | San Antonio | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Houston | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 03/12 | Home | Milwaukee | -1.5 | W by 35 | +33.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | LA Lakers | +2.5 | W by 13 | +15.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | New York | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 03/18 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | W by 10 | -1.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Toronto | -11.0 | W by 34 | +23.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | L by 7 | -18.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Orlando | +3.0 | W by 2 | +5.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 36 | -37.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Utah | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | LA Clippers | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 04/04 | Away | New York | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Boston | +9.0 | L by 1 | +8.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.5 | W by 30 | +19.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Okla City | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 04/11 | Home | New Orleans | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Portland | -17.5 | W by 39 | +21.5 |
| 04/16 | Home | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 24 | +27.0 |
| 04/19 | Away | New Orleans | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Phoenix | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 04/28 | Away | Phoenix | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| SAC -1.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 537 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Sacramento won the game 281 times (52.3%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 256 times (47.7%).
- The team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 265-261-11 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 193 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Sacramento did better against the spread, going 99-91-3 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.0 | -- |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/28 08:13 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/28 08:07 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 08:03 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/28 08:01 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 07:46 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 07:43 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/28 07:34 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 07:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 07:05 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 06:49 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 06:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 06:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 06:03 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 05:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 05:43 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 05:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 05:10 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 04:23 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 04:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 04:07 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 04:03 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 03:40 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 03:03 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 02:55 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:34 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:16 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:13 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 02:05 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:03 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/28 01:46 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 12:55 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:52 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:26 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:54 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/28 10:53 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:50 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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