NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SAC MIN
Points 108.3 112.7
Total Points   221.1
Points From 2-Pointers 53.1 54.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 38.4
Points From Free Throws 16.9 20.0
Shooting SAC MIN
Field Goals Made 39.3 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 82.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 50.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 16.9 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 25.7
Free Throw % 74.6% 77.9%
Ball Control SAC MIN
Rebounds 47.7 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.5 39.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.5
Turnovers 12.3 13.4
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.7
Steals 7.3 7.0
Fouls 19.9 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SAC MIN
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 97.2
% of Possessions with SAC MIN
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 28.1%
Player Fouled 16.9% 19.7%
Turnover 12.1% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SAC MIN
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 21.1%