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Orlando at Miami
Fri Jan 27, 2023
8:00pm ET
Miami, FL
Orlando at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 8.5, Total Points: 219
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ORL | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 54-33-0 | 43-44-2 | |
| vs Division | 10-6-0 | 9-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 36-21-0 | 29-28-2 | |
| Streak | W3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 29-13-0 | 17-27-0 | |
| Away | 25-20-0 | 26-17-2 |
Orlando Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Houston | -4.5 | W by 30 | +25.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Portland | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Utah | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 11/09 | Neutral | Atlanta | +3.5 | L by 1 | +2.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Milwaukee | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Brooklyn | +2.5 | L by 20 | -17.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Chicago | +2.0 | W by 2 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Chicago | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 19 | +17.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Boston | +5.5 | W by 17 | +22.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 19 | +9.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Brooklyn | +2.0 | L by 28 | -26.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Cleveland | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Detroit | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 17 | -11.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Milwaukee | +8.5 | L by 4 | +4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.5 | L by 20 | -22.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | New York | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Golden State | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Sacramento | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Denver | +10.0 | W by 2 | +12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Atlanta | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Minnesota | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Miami | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Okla City | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | New York | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Atlanta | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Miami | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Cleveland | +2.5 | L by 27 | -24.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Phoenix | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | San Antonio | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/02 | Away | Minnesota | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Detroit | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Miami | +3.5 | L by 26 | -22.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Okla City | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | New York | -3.5 | W by 18 | +14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | W by 7 | +12.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Detroit | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Atlanta | +2.0 | L by 17 | -15.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.5 | W by 27 | +20.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | Utah | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | New York | +3.0 | L by 24 | -21.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Indiana | (Pick) | L by 14 | -14.0 |
| 03/13 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/15 | Away | Toronto | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Toronto | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Charlotte | -13.0 | W by 20 | +7.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | New Orleans | +2.5 | W by 15 | +17.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Sacramento | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Golden State | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/30 | Home | Memphis | -13.0 | W by 30 | +17.0 |
| 04/01 | Home | Portland | -17.0 | W by 1 | -16.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | New Orleans | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Charlotte | -12.0 | L by 9 | -21.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Chicago | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Milwaukee | -1.5 | L by 18 | -19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 25 | +19.0 |
| 04/20 | Away | Cleveland | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| 04/22 | Away | Cleveland | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 04/25 | Home | Cleveland | -3.0 | W by 38 | +35.0 |
| 04/27 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 04/30 | Away | Cleveland | +4.5 | L by 1 | +3.5 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 04/19 | Home | Chicago | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 04/21 | Away | Boston | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 04/24 | Away | Boston | +14.0 | W by 10 | +24.0 |
| 04/27 | Home | Boston | +9.5 | L by 20 | -10.5 |
| 04/29 | Home | Boston | +10.5 | L by 14 | -3.5 |
| 05/01 | Away | Boston | +13.5 | L by 34 | -20.5 |
| MIA -8.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 782 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 577 times (73.8%).
- The team like Orlando won the game 205 times (26.2%).
- The team like Orlando did better against the spread, going 401-371-10 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 459 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Orlando did better against the spread, going 234-216-9 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -9.0 | -- |
| Open | -7.5 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/27 08:07 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:55 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:34 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:34 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 01/27 07:13 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/27 06:53 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/27 06:46 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 06:33 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/27 06:03 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/27 05:58 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 05:13 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/27 04:49 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 03:34 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:46 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:33 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/27 02:07 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 02:01 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 01:28 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 01:23 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/27 12:43 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 12:25 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:52 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:40 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:22 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:10 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:07 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:33 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/27 09:22 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:19 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 09:04 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:40 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:35 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:07 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:33 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 01/27 07:19 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 07:25 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 06:10 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 05:58 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
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