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Indiana at Boston
Fri Feb 26, 2021
7:30pm ET
Boston, MA
Indiana at Boston: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Boston by 2.5, Total Points: 218.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IND | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-37-3 | 42-37-5 | |
| vs Division | 12-7-0 | 9-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 31-22-1 | 25-25-4 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-5-2 | |
| Home | 22-17-2 | 23-18-2 | |
| Away | 23-20-1 | 19-19-3 |
Indiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Washington | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Cleveland | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Chicago | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Boston | +13.0 | L by 51 | -38.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Cleveland | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Charlotte | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 41 | +32.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Utah | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Milwaukee | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.5 | W by 6 | +12.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Atlanta | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Toronto | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Boston | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Milwaukee | +5.0 | W by 9 | +14.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | LA Lakers | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Detroit | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Washington | -8.0 | L by 14 | -22.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Minnesota | +10.5 | L by 18 | -7.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 24 | -20.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Charlotte | -10.5 | W by 31 | +20.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Memphis | +2.0 | L by 13 | -11.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Orlando | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | New York | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Milwaukee | +8.0 | W by 9 | +17.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Milwaukee | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | W by 34 | +31.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Boston | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Atlanta | +6.0 | W by 18 | +24.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Denver | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Utah | +7.0 | L by 27 | -20.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Sacramento | +8.5 | W by 5 | +13.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Phoenix | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Philadelphia | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Phoenix | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Memphis | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | New York | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Houston | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Golden State | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | New York | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Charlotte | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Toronto | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Dallas | +2.0 | W by 22 | +24.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Toronto | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | New Orleans | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | New Orleans | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | San Antonio | -6.5 | L by 12 | -18.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Dallas | +5.5 | W by 17 | +22.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Orlando | (Pick) | W by 14 | +14.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | Okla City | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 03/18 | Home | Cleveland | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 19 | +8.0 |
| 03/22 | Away | Golden State | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | LA Lakers | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 26 | -29.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 04/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 04/03 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Okla City | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Atlanta | -13.5 | W by 42 | +28.5 |
| 04/21 | Away | Milwaukee | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | W by 17 | +18.0 |
Boston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | New York | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 10/27 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Indiana | -13.0 | W by 51 | +38.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | New York | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Philadelphia | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Toronto | -9.0 | W by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 2 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Charlotte | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Milwaukee | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Chicago | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Philadelphia | -12.0 | W by 6 | -6.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | New York | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Cleveland | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Cleveland | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Orlando | -6.0 | W by 17 | +11.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Golden State | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Sacramento | +4.0 | W by 25 | +29.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 37 | +32.5 |
| 12/25 | Away | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Detroit | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 33 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Okla City | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Utah | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Minnesota | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.0 | L by 33 | -31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Houston | -15.0 | W by 32 | +17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Toronto | -6.5 | W by 9 | +2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | San Antonio | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Denver | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Houston | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Miami | -8.5 | W by 33 | +24.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LA Clippers | -7.0 | L by 19 | -26.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | New Orleans | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | LA Lakers | -15.5 | L by 9 | -24.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Memphis | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Atlanta | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Miami | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Brooklyn | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -11.5 | W by 50 | +38.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Chicago | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | New York | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -11.5 | W by 18 | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 28 | +19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Golden State | -8.0 | W by 52 | +44.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Cleveland | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Denver | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Phoenix | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Portland | -11.0 | W by 22 | +11.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | Utah | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Washington | -14.5 | W by 26 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Detroit | -15.0 | W by 25 | +10.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Milwaukee | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Detroit | -14.0 | W by 27 | +13.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Chicago | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Atlanta | -10.5 | L by 2 | -12.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | Atlanta | -16.0 | L by 1 | -17.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | New Orleans | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | Charlotte | -18.0 | W by 14 | -4.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Okla City | -12.0 | W by 35 | +23.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 1 | -8.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Portland | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 04/11 | Home | New York | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 33 | +25.5 |
| 04/14 | Home | Washington | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Miami | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 04/24 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | L by 10 | -24.0 |
| BOS -2.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 939 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Boston won the game 511 times (54.4%).
- The team like Indiana won the game 428 times (45.6%).
- The team like Boston did better against the spread, going 480-446-13 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 51 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Boston did better against the spread, going 31-20 (60.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/26 07:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 07:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 07:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 07:17 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 07:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:59 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/26 06:44 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 05:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/26 05:49 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 05:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 02:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/26 12:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 12:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 12:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 11:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 11:11 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 11:08 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 10:44 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 10:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 10:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/26 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/26 09:35 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 08:02 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 07:50 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:47 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 04:38 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 03:53 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 02:23 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 09:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/25 04:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 04:05 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 04:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/25 03:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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