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Toronto at Minnesota
Sat Jan 18, 2020
8:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Toronto at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toronto by 4, Total Points: 224.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOR | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-46-1 | 44-40-2 | |
| vs Division | 4-12-0 | 10-4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 23-28-1 | 29-25-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 14-27-0 | 20-21-2 | |
| Away | 21-19-1 | 24-19-0 |
Toronto Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Chicago | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Portland | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | W by 19 | +23.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Philadelphia | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | San Antonio | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | W by 11 | +15.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Boston | +9.0 | L by 23 | -14.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Milwaukee | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Boston | +9.0 | L by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 29 | +19.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.5 | L by 19 | -17.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 13 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Brooklyn | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | New York | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | L by 9 | -13.0 |
| 12/08 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New York | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Atlanta | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Atlanta | -1.5 | L by 21 | -22.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Utah | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 30 | +23.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Boston | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Detroit | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Sacramento | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.5 | L by 6 | +5.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Utah | +1.5 | L by 32 | -30.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Boston | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miami | +3.0 | W by 24 | +27.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Chicago | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | New York | +7.5 | L by 26 | -18.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Memphis | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 20 | -12.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Atlanta | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Chicago | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Houston | +4.5 | L by 29 | -24.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | New Orleans | +10.5 | L by 38 | -27.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Houston | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Cleveland | +8.5 | L by 24 | -15.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | San Antonio | -6.0 | L by 23 | -29.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Indiana | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 28 | +27.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Atlanta | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Indiana | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | New Orleans | +9.5 | L by 41 | -31.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Phoenix | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Portland | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 03/11 | Away | Denver | +17.0 | L by 6 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | Orlando | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 03/17 | Away | Orlando | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Sacramento | +11.0 | L by 34 | -23.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Okla City | +16.5 | L by 20 | -3.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Washington | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Brooklyn | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | New York | +14.0 | L by 44 | -30.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Philadelphia | +9.0 | L by 15 | -6.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | LA Lakers | +13.0 | L by 17 | -4.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Minnesota | +17.5 | L by 48 | -30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Milwaukee | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Washington | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Indiana | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Brooklyn | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Miami | +14.0 | L by 22 | -8.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Miami | +16.0 | L by 15 | +1.0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Phoenix | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 04/28 | Away | Phoenix | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| TOR -4.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 741 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toronto won the game 455 times (61.4%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 286 times (38.6%).
- The team like Toronto did better against the spread, going 377-352-12 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 1425 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toronto did better against the spread, going 706-693-26 (50.5% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -- | -4.0 |
| Open | -5.0 | -- | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 08:09 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:02 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/18 07:09 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:20 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:49 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/18 05:41 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:25 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:22 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:10 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:58 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:22 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/18 02:34 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:56 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/18 01:33 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:24 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:00 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:46 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:40 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:58 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:34 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:31 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:22 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:11 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:15 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:11 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:47 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/18 09:38 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
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