NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR MIN
Points 104.2 120.6
Total Points   224.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.1 62.3
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 40.7
Points From Free Throws 18.0 17.6
Shooting TOR MIN
Field Goals Made 37.9 44.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 86.7
Field Goal % 43.5% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 31.2
2 Pointers Attempted 56.8 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 59.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 18.0 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 22.6
Free Throw % 76.6% 77.9%
Ball Control TOR MIN
Rebounds 44.5 51.6
Rebounds - Defensive 32.8 39.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.8
Turnovers 13.4 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 6.9
Steals 7.3 7.0
Fouls 18.4 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR MIN
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 100.4
% of Possessions with TOR MIN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 29.6%
Player Fouled 16.6% 18.1%
Turnover 13.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR MIN
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 26.5%