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Houston at New Orleans
Mon Nov 11, 2019
8:00pm ET
New Orleans, LA
Houston at New Orleans: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Houston by 7.5, Total Points: 244
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | NO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-35-2 | 46-41-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-8-1 | 7-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 30-20-2 | 29-28-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 27-13-1 | 21-23-0 | |
| Away | 18-22-1 | 25-18-1 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Orlando | +4.5 | L by 30 | -25.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | San Antonio | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 10/29 | Home | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Charlotte | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Sacramento | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | LA Lakers | +2.0 | W by 34 | +36.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | LA Clippers | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Memphis | -5.0 | W by 20 | +15.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 19 | +22.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Denver | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | W by 8 | +17.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Memphis | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 12/15 | Away | Memphis | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New Orleans | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Indiana | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | L by 16 | -13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Minnesota | +4.0 | L by 27 | -23.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Chicago | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Boston | +15.0 | L by 32 | -17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | New York | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Utah | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Boston | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Portland | -10.0 | L by 6 | -16.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 34 | +29.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Brooklyn | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | LA Lakers | +1.0 | W by 16 | +17.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | New Orleans | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Indiana | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Toronto | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Atlanta | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | New York | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Memphis | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | New Orleans | +6.5 | L by 22 | -15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Okla City | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Okla City | +10.0 | L by 17 | -7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Phoenix | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Phoenix | +9.0 | W by 9 | +18.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | San Antonio | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LA Clippers | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Sacramento | +6.5 | W by 8 | +14.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | San Antonio | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | Cleveland | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Washington | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Chicago | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Utah | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Okla City | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Utah | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Golden State | +3.0 | L by 23 | -20.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Miami | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Dallas | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Orlando | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 04/11 | Away | Utah | -11.0 | L by 3 | -14.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Portland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
New Orleans Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | New York | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | L by 28 | -31.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 11/02 | Home | Detroit | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Atlanta | -2.0 | L by 18 | -20.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Minnesota | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | W by 21 | +24.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Denver | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Sacramento | +2.0 | W by 36 | +38.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Sacramento | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/27 | Away | Utah | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 15 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | LA Lakers | +2.0 | L by 44 | -42.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Minnesota | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Washington | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Charlotte | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | L by 2 | -9.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Memphis | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Brooklyn | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Minnesota | +6.0 | W by 11 | +17.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Sacramento | +4.5 | W by 33 | +37.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 36 | +33.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Dallas | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Dallas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Charlotte | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Utah | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 24 | -23.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 24 | -20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Houston | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Toronto | -10.5 | W by 38 | +27.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | L by 17 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Memphis | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Washington | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Houston | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Miami | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | New York | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Indiana | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Toronto | -9.5 | W by 41 | +31.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Philadelphia | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Atlanta | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 21 | -26.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | LA Clippers | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 19 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Orlando | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Miami | +3.0 | W by 23 | +26.0 |
| 03/24 | Away | Detroit | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 03/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 03/30 | Home | Boston | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 04/01 | Home | Phoenix | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Portland | -14.0 | W by 10 | -4.0 |
| 04/11 | Away | Sacramento | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Golden State | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 04/16 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 04/19 | Home | Sacramento | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 04/21 | Away | Okla City | +9.0 | L by 2 | +7.0 |
| 04/24 | Away | Okla City | +7.5 | L by 32 | -24.5 |
| 04/27 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | L by 21 | -19.5 |
| 04/29 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| HOU -7.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 419 games where the closing line favored the away team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Houston won the game 316 times (75.4%).
- The team like New Orleans won the game 103 times (24.6%).
- The team like Houston did better against the spread, going 209-207-3 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 169 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Houston did better against the spread, going 91-76-2 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.0 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/11 08:09 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 07:53 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/11 07:45 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 11/11 07:43 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/11 07:43 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 06:37 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 05:54 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 05:48 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 05:01 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 03:00 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 02:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/11 02:25 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 01:23 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/11 01:13 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 12:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/11 12:50 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 11:45 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 11:22 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 10:38 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 10:33 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/11 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/11 10:21 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 09:22 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 09:03 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 08:43 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/11 08:40 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/11 08:33 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/11 08:04 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/11 07:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 07:03 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/11 06:52 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 06:13 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/11 05:58 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 04:43 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/11 04:28 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/11 01:33 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/11 01:25 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 10:47 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/10 09:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/10 07:43 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/10 07:36 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 05:39 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/10 03:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/10 03:48 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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