NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU NO
Points 111.2 114.6
Total Points   225.8
Points From 2-Pointers 52.9 60.0
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 34.2
Points From Free Throws 17.7 20.3
Shooting HOU NO
Field Goals Made 40.0 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 85.8
Field Goal % 45.1% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 49.0 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 39.8 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.7 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 26.1
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.9%
Ball Control HOU NO
Rebounds 48.0 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 11.6
Turnovers 11.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.0
Steals 6.3 7.3
Fouls 18.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU NO
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 101.1
% of Possessions with HOU NO
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 28.1%
Player Fouled 17.3% 17.8%
Turnover 11.7% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU NO
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 24.5%