NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA MIL
Points 112.5 118.5
Total Points   231.0
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 61.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 40.4
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.9
Shooting SA MIL
Field Goals Made 42.2 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.8 90.8
Field Goal % 46.0% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 30.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.5 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 21.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.0%
Ball Control SA MIL
Rebounds 49.9 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 40.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.1
Turnovers 11.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.3
Steals 6.0 7.3
Fouls 15.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA MIL
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 102.9
% of Possessions with SA MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 30.9%
Player Fouled 15.7% 15.1%
Turnover 11.4% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA MIL
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 20.7%