BetIQ
Make Smarter Sports Bets
Minnesota at New Orleans
Mon Dec 11, 2023
8:00pm ET
New Orleans, LA
Minnesota at New Orleans: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Orleans by 4, Total Points: 222.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | NO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 49-47-2 | 46-41-1 | |
| vs Division | 14-7-2 | 7-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 34-32-2 | 29-28-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 21-26-2 | 21-23-0 | |
| Away | 28-21-0 | 25-18-1 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Phoenix | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 04/28 | Away | Phoenix | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 05/04 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 05/06 | Away | Denver | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 05/10 | Home | Denver | -3.5 | L by 27 | -30.5 |
| 05/12 | Home | Denver | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 05/14 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 05/16 | Home | Denver | -2.0 | W by 45 | +43.0 |
| 05/19 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | W by 8 | +12.5 |
| 05/22 | Home | Dallas | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 05/24 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 05/26 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 05/28 | Away | Dallas | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 05/30 | Home | Dallas | -5.0 | L by 21 | -26.0 |
New Orleans Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | New York | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | L by 28 | -31.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 11/02 | Home | Detroit | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Atlanta | -2.0 | L by 18 | -20.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Minnesota | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | W by 21 | +24.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Denver | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Sacramento | +2.0 | W by 36 | +38.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Sacramento | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/27 | Away | Utah | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 15 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | LA Lakers | +2.0 | L by 44 | -42.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Minnesota | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Washington | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Charlotte | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | L by 2 | -9.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Memphis | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Brooklyn | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Minnesota | +6.0 | W by 11 | +17.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Sacramento | +4.5 | W by 33 | +37.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 36 | +33.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Dallas | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Dallas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Charlotte | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Utah | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 24 | -23.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 24 | -20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Houston | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Toronto | -10.5 | W by 38 | +27.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | L by 17 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Memphis | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Washington | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Houston | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Miami | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | New York | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Indiana | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Toronto | -9.5 | W by 41 | +31.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Philadelphia | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Atlanta | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 21 | -26.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | LA Clippers | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 19 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Orlando | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Miami | +3.0 | W by 23 | +26.0 |
| 03/24 | Away | Detroit | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 03/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 03/30 | Home | Boston | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 04/01 | Home | Phoenix | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Portland | -14.0 | W by 10 | -4.0 |
| 04/11 | Away | Sacramento | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Golden State | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 04/16 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 04/19 | Home | Sacramento | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 04/21 | Away | Okla City | +9.0 | L by 2 | +7.0 |
| 04/24 | Away | Okla City | +7.5 | L by 32 | -24.5 |
| 04/27 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | L by 21 | -19.5 |
| 04/29 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| NO -4.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 1022 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like New Orleans won the game 635 times (62.1%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 387 times (37.9%).
- The team like New Orleans did better against the spread, going 518-480-24 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 184 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 95-88-1 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/11 08:07 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 07:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 07:37 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 07:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 07:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 07:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 06:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 06:47 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/11 06:40 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 06:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 06:37 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/11 06:04 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 05:55 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 05:34 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 04:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 04:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 01:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:52 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:10 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:09 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:07 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:49 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:48 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 08:49 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 08:43 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 08:37 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 07:27 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/11 06:19 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 05:22 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 05:10 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 01:07 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 09:10 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 07:32 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 07:05 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 06:55 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 06:46 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 06:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:17 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/10 09:07 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/10 08:48 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
Printed from TeamRankings.com - © 2005-2024 Team Rankings, LLC. All Rights Reserved.