NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN NO
Points 109.6 104.6
Total Points   214.3
Points From 2-Pointers 51.5 54.3
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 32.2
Points From Free Throws 17.6 18.1
Shooting MIN NO
Field Goals Made 39.3 37.9
Field Goals Attempted 82.1 84.1
Field Goal % 47.9% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 25.7 27.2
2 Pointers Attempted 45.9 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.6 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 23.3
Free Throw % 77.1% 77.9%
Ball Control MIN NO
Rebounds 47.5 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.1
Turnovers 13.3 12.5
Blocked Shots 5.7 4.0
Steals 6.4 7.7
Fouls 16.9 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN NO
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 95.6 97.4
% of Possessions with MIN NO
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 26.3%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.1%
Turnover 13.5% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN NO
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 22.8%