NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN NO
Points 109.5 105.0
Total Points   214.6
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 32.7
Points From Free Throws 17.4 18.2
Shooting MIN NO
Field Goals Made 39.3 38.0
Field Goals Attempted 81.9 83.8
Field Goal % 48.0% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 46.0 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 17.4 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 23.4
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.9%
Ball Control MIN NO
Rebounds 47.2 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 35.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.0
Turnovers 13.3 12.5
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.0
Steals 6.4 7.7
Fouls 17.0 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN NO
Total Possessions 98.6
Effective Scoring Chances 95.4 97.1
% of Possessions with MIN NO
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.2%
Turnover 13.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN NO
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 22.9%