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Minnesota at Phoenix
Wed Mar 29, 2023
10:00pm ET
Phoenix, AZ
Minnesota at Phoenix: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Phoenix by 6, Total Points: 233
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 44-40-2 | 35-49-2 | |
| vs Division | 10-4-2 | 8-10-0 | |
| vs Conference | 29-25-2 | 23-33-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 20-21-2 | 16-26-1 | |
| Away | 24-19-0 | 19-23-1 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Phoenix | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 04/26 | Away | Phoenix | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 04/28 | Away | Phoenix | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
Phoenix Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 10/26 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Utah | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | San Antonio | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | Detroit | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | LA Lakers | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Okla City | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Minnesota | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Utah | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Utah | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | W by 13 | +1.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | New York | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | LA Lakers | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Golden State | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | New York | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Washington | -13.0 | W by 4 | -9.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Portland | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Dallas | -4.0 | L by 14 | -18.0 |
| 12/27 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charlotte | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Portland | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Memphis | -8.0 | L by 6 | -14.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 27 | -22.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Portland | -14.0 | W by 11 | -3.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | New Orleans | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Orlando | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Miami | +2.0 | W by 13 | +15.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Atlanta | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | W by 28 | +17.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Milwaukee | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Golden State | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Sacramento | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Dallas | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Houston | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | Houston | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Denver | +8.5 | W by 10 | +18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Toronto | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Cleveland | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Away | Boston | +5.5 | L by 15 | -9.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Charlotte | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Philadelphia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Atlanta | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | San Antonio | -12.0 | L by 2 | -14.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 25 | -27.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | New Orleans | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Cleveland | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | LA Clippers | -9.5 | L by 13 | -22.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Sacramento | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 04/20 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 04/26 | Home | Minnesota | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 04/28 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| PHO -6.0 | Open | -5.0 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 1096 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Phoenix won the game 770 times (70.3%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 326 times (29.7%).
- The team like Phoenix did better against the spread, going 548-511-37 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 919 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Phoenix did better against the spread, going 472-427-20 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/29 10:01 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:43 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 03/29 09:34 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:04 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:55 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:43 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/29 08:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:23 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 03/29 08:13 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:28 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:46 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:43 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:04 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 04:19 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 04:04 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 03:28 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:13 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/29 01:33 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 12:33 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/29 12:04 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 11:13 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/29 11:07 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 10:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 10:43 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 09:13 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:28 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 08:23 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 03/29 08:13 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:55 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:53 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/29 07:43 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:22 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 07:10 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 06:28 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 05:40 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/29 02:43 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 03/29 01:07 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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